
SAC's commentaries are sought after by investment professionals and clients alike for their timely insight into the strengths, weaknesses, and future direction of the market.
First Quarter 2012
2012: Euro-Crisis, Economic Weakness, Stagnant Incomes, and Persistent Structural...
Despite the likelihood of a higher-than-third-quarter print for GDP in the first quarter, the economy's recent momentum is poised to fade early in 2012. By all indications, retailers enjoyed a rather festive holiday shopping season, headlined by record sales over the Black Friday weekend. The burst in spending for Kindles and iPhones contributed importantly to a GDP growth rate the could hit 2.5% in the October-December period, which would be the strongest since the second quarter of 2010 and up from a 1.2% average over the first three quarters of the year. But like the episodic growth spurts that came before in this erratic and sub-par recovery, this one is not sustainable. Read Full Version >
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2011
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FIRST QUARTER:
Transitory Stimulus Overwhelmed By Stiff Headwinds
SECOND QUARTER: Global Shocks Intensify Concerns About Recovery THIRD QUARTER: A Highly Questionable Second Half FOURTH QUARTER: "Operation Twist": A Baby Step |
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